Grand Valley Gauntlet Part 3

ALLENDALE – GVSU Fieldhouse, Grand Valley Gauntlet
UK def BGSU 2-1
GVSU def CMU 2-1 OT
CMU def SVSU 2-1
GVSU def MSU 1-0
UK def GV-JV 2-0
MSU def SVSU 2-1 OT
CMU def BGSU 4-1
MSU def BGSU 2-0
GVSU def UK 4-1
SVSU def UK 3-0
BGSU played GV-JV

Continue reading “Grand Valley Gauntlet Part 3”

Akron hosts the first Pink Out

2015-campusforthecure

Alrighty, for Akron’s Pink Out tournament we have a lot of teams with similar ratings! Aside from Kent, most teams playing at Akron this Saturday have a average rating of 39.287 and a median rating of 38.585. That’s quite balanced… even with a spread of just 5.991 rating points from the highest rated team to the lowest rated team. In comparison, the League spread is 25.742 Continue reading “Akron hosts the first Pink Out”

Previewing Pumpkinfest 2

Time High Seed Low Seed Pre Event Rating Pre Event Rating Predicted Exchange Exchange if Upset
10:00 Towson UMD 44.806 40.985 0.618 1.382
10:00 VCU JMU-JV
10:00 JMU-JV VCU-JV
11:00 JMU UMD 57.207 40.985 0.010 2.000
11:00 Towson Kent 44.806 43.426 0.862 1.138
11:00 PSU VCU 37.644 32.224 0.458 1.542
12:00 JMU Towson 57.207 44.806 0.010 2.000
12:00 Kent PSU 43.426 37.644 0.422 1.578
12:00 UMD VCU 40.985 32.224 0.124 1.876
2:00 JMU Kent 57.207 43.426 0.010 2.000
2:00 UMD PSU 40.985 37.644 0.666 1.334
2:00 Towson VCU 44.806 32.224 0.010 2.000
3:00 JMU PSU 57.207 37.644 0.010 2.000
3:00 Towson JMU-JV
3:00 Kent VCU 43.426 32.224 0.010 2.000

Initial Ratings:

JMU: 57.207 (inc +3 for home advantage) (#3 in Gonzalez Standings)
Towson: 44.806 (#7)
Kent: 43.426 (#9)
UMD: 40.985 (#11)
PSU: 37.644 (#15)
VCU: 32.224 (#24)

JV and B team matches are recorded, but do not count towards primer standings.

You may note there’s a lot of potential exchanges at the minimum, 0.010. This is a sign that those matches are not between teams of similar strength. Over the years, I’ve found our East Coast region to be a sort of microcosm of the entire League. You may also note that JMU’s home rating (57.207) rivals GVSU current neutral court rating (57.357). That’d be a #1 and #2 in Gonzalez rating if GVSU has a chance to visit JMU’s home court again.

Summit Street Slugfest 2: The Sluggening

KENT – SWRC: In Summit Street Slugfest 2: The Sluggening:
Kent def UK 2-1
MSU def Akron 7-0
OSU def Kent 4-0
UK def Akron 3-1
OSU def Akron 7-1
MSU def UK 4-1
Kent def Akron 6-0
MSU def OSU 1-0
MSU def Kent 2-1
OSU def UK 3-1 
Continue reading “Summit Street Slugfest 2: The Sluggening”

Previewing Summit Street Slugfest 2: The Sluggening

Time at Kent High Seed Low Seed Predicted Exchange  Exchange if Upset 
11:00 Kent UK 0.907 1.093
11:00 MSU Akron 0.010 2.000
12:15 Kent OSU 0.713 1.287
12:15 UK Akron 0.121 1.879
1:30 OSU Akron 0.193 1.807
1:30 MSU UK 0.239 1.761
3:30 Kent Akron 0.010 2.000
3:30 MSU OSU 0.138 1.862
4:45 MSU Kent 0.536 1.464
4:45 UK OSU 0.934 1.066
*at GV GVSU SVSU 0.146 1.854

Here’s the possible exchanges for predicted and upset results. Take notice of the underlined games:

  • Kent v UK
  • Kent v OSU
  • UK v OSU
  • and to a smaller extent, MSU v Kent.

The Gonzalez ratings for these teams are very close, which may be an indication of a possible overtime situation. An exchange between two identical ratings is 1, the middle of 0-2 range of possible Gonzalez exchanges.

Initial ratings:

MSU: 52.999
Kent: 47.114*
UK: 46.181
OSU: 45.150
Akron: 36.496

* Kent’s initial rating of  44.114, with a home court advantage modifier of +3

Perrone Point Awards from the Gauntlet

To elaborate on our evaluation of the Gonzalez results from earlier in the week, this article will focus on the Perrone System. The System has a quality win component that uses the opponent’s Win Percentage to dictate how much Perrone Points a team receives.

I’m throwing a lot of numbers at you, but that’s just the exact thing that happens. Think of it this way: if one defeats an undefeated team, the most points are awarded. If you defeat a team with 0 wins, you get a tinier amount of points. Flip that around for the loser: losing against an undefeated team won’t be so bad. Giving a team their first win will hurt the losing team.  Continue reading “Perrone Point Awards from the Gauntlet”

Gonzalez Rating Exchanges

Since the Rugby World Cup is going on, i’d thought we’d highlight the Gonzalez exchanges for yesterday’s matches. The Gonzalez System uses the same rating exchange system that the International Rugby Board (IRB) uses to determine rankings for its teams. World Cup games are worth double just like our Nationals games are.

First, the initial ratings before the day’s first match:

  • GVSU = 59.202, a historically strong team and top rank at #1.
  • MSU = 51.009, still up there at #5 in Gonzalez Standings.

With home court advantage, GVSU gains 3 rating points to bring them to a hefty rating of 62.202 versus MSU’s initial rating of 51.009.  Continue reading “Gonzalez Rating Exchanges”

2015 BGSU Invitational

BOWLING GREEN – Perry Fieldhouse: In the BGSU Invitational,
Kent def Akron 6-0
OSU def BW 6-0
Kent def BGSU 2-1
BW def Ohio 7-0 (inducting match)
OSU def BGSU 3-0
OSU def Ohio 5-0
BGSU def Akron 3-0
Akron def Ohio 4-0
Kent def BW 5-1

Ohio U joins the League as #38  Continue reading “2015 BGSU Invitational”