Category: Standings

College Dodgeball closed out the opening month of the 2018 Season with an action packed Saturday. Fifteen teams played across three venues spread over 1215 travel miles, where 21 ranked matches were played, and in which 118 points were scored.

Think about all those lazy Shot Clock reset throws.

Of these Saturday games, five were technical upsets according to the Gonzalez system. None were extreme upsets but interesting regardless. We have 244 technical upsets in 1285 ranked matches.  Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-10-03”

We are only three events in and 14 ranked matches into the 2018 Season. We’ve already had 11 teams compete, and we have oodles more games (at least 21) to see this upcoming weekend with events at UNL (Cornhusker Clash), Kent (Summit Street Slugfest), and UMD. There’s a lot of activity to close out a very busy September. I can’t express how excited I am to see the match count grow.

This weekend saw only five ranked matches and no technical upsets. They were held at Towson and a double header at UK. In the current Gonzalez System, there are now 239 technical upsets in 1264 ranked matches since accurate record keeping started 2010-09-25.

As stated in the previous Standings release, a couple things to reiterate for a couple more weeks: Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-09-26”

Of the 12 games played this past weekend in Towson and the Kentuckian Bowling Green, we saw only one technical upset. Akron def UNG 5-2. While the video of this game was exciting, this game could be considered one of the rating adjustments games because new Member Team UNG didn’t have a lot games under their belt. There’s always many angles you can look at the result. The end exchange was 1.490 and ranks 43rd out of 222 technical upsets. We have 1170 ranked matches under our collective belts.

Team	Pre	Post	Change
Akron	35.518	36.737	1.219
UK	47.366	48.235	0.869
Towson	47.972	48.819	0.847
Kent	43.388	43.786	0.399
WKU	41.906	42.223	0.317
VCU	42.975	42.489	-0.486
UMD	36.909	36.149	-0.760
UNG	40.466	38.061	-2.405

Akron leads the day with the biggest exchange having won a technical upset. UK also secured the big victory by gaining the most points without needing to upset anybody to do it. Plus, they brought home the Kentucky Dodgeball Cup in their 3-1 win over a WKU home team.  Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-03-07”

With so many games played this past weekend (18 ranked across 3 regions), plus two new teams, we see a lot more movement in the Standings than usual. When listing all the changes, we see top to bottom gains and losses.

Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-02-28”

With so many teams playing this Sunday, we have a shakeup in the top 7… into an apparent top 6. I wouldn’t count anyone out. While it would be big news if GVSU gave up their now 6 game lead, the ratings of the rest of the top 8 are competitive. Plenty of weeks left and a few Nationals games to go before we truly see the shaping of a Championship bracket.

Nine of our 29 active member teams played this Sunday:

Team	Pre	Post	Change
SVSU	47.267	48.708	1.441
JMU	48.016	49.161	1.145
GVSU	55.440	56.356	0.916
Towson	47.768	47.972	0.204
UVA	37.284	37.425	0.142
CMU	49.615	49.624	0.010
UMD	37.437	36.909	-0.528
VCU	43.937	42.975	-0.963
MSU	48.171	45.804	-2.367

There were five technical upsets in the day (of 14 games), two at Border War and three at the MDC. All of the three Overtime games on Sunday were technical upsets as well.

CMU def MSU 2-1  (1.024 exchange)
SVSU def MSU 4-1 (1.012)
SVSU def CMU 3-2 OT (0.596)
JMU def Towson 3-2 OT (0.523)
UVA def UMD 3-2 OT (0.508)

The greatest technical upset of the day was SVSU def CMU in Overtime. Saginaw gained a solid chunk of rating off of Central, but had they defeated CMU in regulation we would have seen SV at #2.

The largest rating change across the day was the CMU/MSU technical upset, but still pretty minor compared to the history of technical upsets across the Gonzalez system. All five of these matches can be considered strength adjusting upsets; allowing for upsets like these is crucial to maintaining the balance of the system. An allowable tolerance for the overall system success rate. Continue reading “Standings as of 2016-02-20”

After the handful of technical upsets at BEAST this weekend, we see a shake up of the top 7 tier.

There is a number of fluctuating tiers in the Standings, which correlates to similar ratings in the tier. It’s important to consider a team’s rating in addition to their rank. Currently, GVSU is still GVSU… they are still four to five games ahead of their nearest competitors. They are alone in the top tier.

Only 1.3 point rating gap separates #2 through #7. In this tier, #7 is one moderate upset away from a #2 placing. It’s all relative. The situation for #3 MSU is moderately perilous to the rest of this top seven, but comfortable compared to the rest of the League. A losing record at the upcoming Michigan Dodgeball Cup will put them in a worse situation for Nationals; let’s keep in mind that 4 of the top 7 teams will be at the MDC. A winning record will put them back into a solid #2 and I think their current rating is only going to be their lowest point of the season. MSU has the potential to finish higher, they just have to play.  Continue reading “Gonzalez standings as of 2017-02-05”

This system is slightly different than the Gonzalez system used in the past few standings posts. In order to better account for home court advantage (HCA), we now give only 1 point advantage to the home team, where it used to be +3. Under the new HCA variable, the system has a greater success rate of 81.60% as opposed to the old 79.42%. In 1103 ranked matches, there are 203 upsets as opposed to 227.

In the next few days, look for a report proving +1 is better than +3. Proceeding this report, an Exec Board vote is scheduled to put this +1 point Home Court Advantage into the system to have it in place for Nationals. Continue reading “Gonzalez Standings as of 2017-02-01”

As UW-Whitewater joins the NCDA as the 44th School to compete, we now have 29 active teams listed in the Standings. We only had 3 matches played in the West since the last Standings post.

Win	Loss	Exchange
UWP (40.417)	DePaul (37.857)	0.744
DePaul (37.113)	UWW (40.000+3)	1.589 (90.85%)
UWP (41.161)	UWW (38.411+3)	1.025 (4.25%)

To start backwards, UWP’s slight, technical upset win over a home UWW netted them 1.025 Gonzalez points and was 211th of 221 total upsets. That’s the low 4th percentile.

DePaul’s upset win over the home court boosted UWW have the teams exchanging 1.589 in a relatively close match. It is close to the 91st percentile, with just 19 upsets greater than it. We should look out for another UWW/DePaul matchup when Whitewater has more games under their belt (at least 6).

A UWW venue is the most neutral location for a UWP/DePaul matchup (just a two hour drive!) and marks great potential for a new event location, as long as UW Whitewater gets gym space sorted out. This weekend marks the 10th time UWP and DePaul have played, although they’ve played a few times before accurate record keeping started in 2010. UWP is 10-0 versus DePaul, with 3 of those being minor upset wins and even two where UWP topped a DePaul home team. This year DePaul has a much closer rating to UWP, who still leads that middle section of the Standings along with VCU.

1. 2013-03-02: UWP takes 1.330 on DePaul (Home)
2. 2010-10-23: UWP takes 1.159 at WIU
3. 2016-10-16: UWP takes 1.146 on DePaul (Home)
4. 2016-12-04: UWP takes 0.744 at UWW
5. 2016-09-24: UWP takes 0.663 (adjusted) in OT at UNL
6. 2013-10-20: UWP takes 0.647 on DePaul at SAU
7. 2014-03-08: UWP takes 0.485 on DePaul (Home)
8. 2013-11-09: UWP takes 0.423 on DePaul at UNL
9. 2015-09-19: UWP (home) takes 0.072 on DePaul
10. 2016-02-20: UWP (home) takes 0.010 on DePaul Continue reading “Standings as of 2016-12-05”

With the six matches hosted by UNG this weekend, we see both of the GA region teams have 5 matches this season. We should still consider these two ratings provisional until they play a few more other teams. But for now, their ratings have floated to a better expected rating for most new teams. Continue reading “Standings as of 2016-11-21”