With so many teams playing this Sunday, we have a shakeup in the top 7… into an apparent top 6. I wouldn’t count anyone out. While it would be big news if GVSU gave up their now 6 game lead, the ratings of the rest of the top 8 are competitive. Plenty of weeks left and a few Nationals games to go before we truly see the shaping of a Championship bracket.
Nine of our 29 active member teams played this Sunday:
| Team | Pre | Post | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| SVSU | 47.267 | 48.708 | 1.441 |
| JMU | 48.016 | 49.161 | 1.145 |
| GVSU | 55.440 | 56.356 | 0.916 |
| Towson | 47.768 | 47.972 | 0.204 |
| UVA | 37.284 | 37.425 | 0.142 |
| CMU | 49.615 | 49.624 | 0.010 |
| UMD | 37.437 | 36.909 | -0.528 |
| VCU | 43.937 | 42.975 | -0.963 |
| MSU | 48.171 | 45.804 | -2.367 |
There were five technical upsets in the day (of 14 games), two at Border War and three at the MDC. All of the three Overtime games on Sunday were technical upsets as well.
CMU def MSU 2-1 (1.024 exchange)
SVSU def MSU 4-1 (1.012)
SVSU def CMU 3-2 OT (0.596)
JMU def Towson 3-2 OT (0.523)
UVA def UMD 3-2 OT (0.508)
The greatest technical upset of the day was SVSU def CMU in Overtime. Saginaw gained a solid chunk of rating off of Central, but had they defeated CMU in regulation we would have seen SV at #2.
The largest rating change across the day was the CMU/MSU technical upset, but still pretty minor compared to the history of technical upsets across the Gonzalez system. All five of these matches can be considered strength adjusting upsets; allowing for upsets like these is crucial to maintaining the balance of the system. An allowable tolerance for the overall system success rate.
| Mov. | Rank | Rating | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 1 | 56.356 ↑ | GVSU |
| — | 2 | 49.624 ↑ | CMU |
| ↑ from 4 | 3 | 49.161 ↑ | JMU |
| ↑ from 7 | 4 | 48.708 ↑ | SVSU |
| — | 5 | 47.972 ↑ | Towson |
| — | 6 | 47.366 | UK |
| ↓ from 3 | 7 | 45.804 ↓ | MSU |
| — | 8 | 45.139 | Kent |
| — | 9 | 42.975 ↓ | VCU |
| — | 10 | 42.484 | PSU |
| — | 11 | 42.168 | BGSU |
| — | 12 | 41.906 | WKU |
| — | 13 | 41.859 | OSU |
| — | 14 | 40.466 | UNG |
| — | 15 | 40.309 | UNT |
| — | 16 | 38.909 | UWP |
| — | 17 | 38.545 | DePaul |
| — | 18 | 37.754 | UWW |
| — | 19 | 37.715 | NIU |
| ↑ from 21 | 20 | 37.425 ↑ | UVA |
| ↑ from 22 | 21 | 36.971 | UNL |
| ↓ from 20 | 22 | 36.909 ↓ | UMD |
| — | 23 | 36.630 | BW |
| — | 24 | 36.601 | Pitt |
| — | 25 | 36.291 | GSU |
| — | 26 | 35.343 | Akron |
| — | 27 | 35.044 | Ohio |
| — | 28 | 34.756 | SU |
| — | 29 | 32.028 | Miami |
