Policy Proposal – Min Games Required for Nationals Participation

Policy Proposal (defined by NCDA Policy, but not Constitutionally defined)

I propose a minimum of 3 games to be eligible to participate at Nationals.

I’ve debated proposing this but I have considered it seriously over the past four years. In one point, I wanted to wait until we were geographically ready to implement something like this. And on the other, I didn’t want to prevent teams from joining at any point in the season. We’ve had a few teams who’s induction matches have happened at a Nationals (8-9 of our 46 schools). Now, the NCDA is becoming so large and active that a team that hasn’t played much that season is a hindrance to scheduling fairly for Nationals.  Continue reading “Policy Proposal – Min Games Required for Nationals Participation”

Rule Proposal – Team Catching

Rule Proposal by Jeff Starr

Slight modification of the team catch rule.

I think this is best explained with an example. Right now lets say its me on team 1 and Colin and Wes on team 2. There are a couple of scenarios where a team catch can be made. I hit Wes, Colin catches it clean. I throw at Wes, he blocks into himself, ball bounces off, Colin catches it. It should be noted that once my ball has hit Wes that it can hit any number of possessed balls and/or live players and still be eligible for a team catch. The wording used in the rule book is that a team catch can be made whenever a player is at risk of being out. Here’s where my proposal comes in. If Wes and Colin are grouped together and one of them blocks the ball, the ball hits Wes, and is caught (by either), it becomes the refs decision whether the ball hit Colin or Wes’ ball to determine if it was a team catch or a dead ball. I propose that any ball that has hit a teammate or a teammate’s ball is eligible for a team catch. I believe this would be easier to ref. Sorry if this was confusing, I wasn’t sure how to go about this proposal.

Standings as of 2017-03-28

As no events are scheduled for the remainder of the eligible season, this will be the last Standings posted going into Nationals! We’ve had an incredible 245 recorded entry 2017 Season, with 229 ranked matches in 39 events. When I started recording complete records for the 2011 season, we had only 116 ranked matches in 26 regular season events. In seven years, that’s a 97% increase.  Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-03-28”

The War

AKRON – The War: Finals results from both days.

Akron def CSU 5-0
MSU def VCU 3-0
GVSU def Ohio 5-1
DePaul def CSU 5-1
MSU def Akron 5-0
VCU def Ohio 5-0
Akron def DePaul 4-1
GVSU def MSU 3-2 OT
Ohio def CSU 3-1
GVSU def VCU 2-0
CSU def BW 0-0 (F)
DePaul def BW 0-0 (F)
Akron def BW 0-0 (F)

Kent def Ohio 3-0
BGSU def VCU 2-1
Ohio def Akron 3-2
PSU def DePaul 4-0
Kent def VCU 2-0
PSU def BGSU 2-1
BGSU def DePaul 4-0
Kent def PSU 3-1

Status Quo Ante Bellum

The state existing before the war

Rank Rating Team
1 56.593 GVSU
7 45.474 MSU
8 43.786 Kent
10 42.489 VCU
11 42.484 PSU
13 41.547 BGSU
16 38.704 Ohio
17 38.078 DePaul
19 37.893 CSU
22 37.459 BW
26 36.737 Akron

I’ve marked this as opinion, as I include stuff we don’t track statistically.

A technical upset is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The first day of the War includes so many closely rated opponents that it is incredibly unlikely we will see every match predicted correctly. In our Gonzalez system’s current, straight success rate, the higher seeded team will win four of five games. However, this is less likely to apply as the rating gap between teams increases. Any of GVSU’s scheduled games are unlikely to result in a technical upset. CSU vs Akron is much fuzzier; each team has near identical ratings, being only 0.157 difference.

That said, these are the kinds of matches that are a test to the system. The wins and losses and overtimes (8.19% chance of occurrence) at the end of the day will better determine each team’s rating going into Nationals. We’ve never had this many great, even match games for Nationals before. I’m excited to see the results.  Continue reading “Status Quo Ante Bellum”

Policy Proposal – Nationals Scheduling

Cross Post – Captains’ Club

Nationals is two things: the National Tournament (Section 4.3.4.6) and the extra-strength Non-Bracket Matches (Section 4.3.4.5). Rule 4.3.4.5 is purposely written broadly, but for the time being we’ll refer to it as Saturday and Sunday. Currently, it defines that each team gets three unique opponents to play on Saturday.

I propose a less stringent definition of Saturday’s required games, a minimum of two. This will guarantee that each team receives at least three matches over the Nationals Event weekend. 

This is not an explicit drop to two games, we Need to be broader with our written policy. For smaller events (teams number 16 and smaller) we can fit three games in. The point is, requiring 3 matches is too stringent. Adding more teams to Nationals but keeping 3 matches going in will likely require that Friday matches are mandatory.  Continue reading “Policy Proposal – Nationals Scheduling”

Standings as of 2017-03-14

UWP/DePaul have played 7 games with each other in this Season, with the record being UWP 5-2 DePaul. The players of these two teams were curious if this made a League record. Turns out, it ties for second. The League record for games played against a single opponent in a single season is 9 games played.

In their overall 14 matches over their history, the record stands UWP 12-2 DePaul. Prehistory records include a couple more, here and there, but to take this into consideration: before 2017, DePaul/UWP have only played once a season, on average.

Existing Record:
2015, 9 games: GVSU 9-0 MSU (inc 2 “doubleheaders”)
2015, 7 games: GVSU 6-1 CMU (inc 0 doubles)
2016, 7 games: GVSU 5-2 MSU (inc 1 doubleheader)
2017, 7 games: GVSU 5-2 MSU (inc 2 doubleheaders)
2017, 7 games: UWP 5-2 DePaul (inc 1 doubleheader)

Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-03-14”

Standings as of 2017-03-07

Of the 12 games played this past weekend in Towson and the Kentuckian Bowling Green, we saw only one technical upset. Akron def UNG 5-2. While the video of this game was exciting, this game could be considered one of the rating adjustments games because new Member Team UNG didn’t have a lot games under their belt. There’s always many angles you can look at the result. The end exchange was 1.490 and ranks 43rd out of 222 technical upsets. We have 1170 ranked matches under our collective belts.

Team Pre Post Change
Akron 35.518 36.737 1.219
UK 47.366 48.235 0.869
Towson 47.972 48.819 0.847
Kent 43.388 43.786 0.399
WKU 41.906 42.223 0.317
VCU 42.975 42.489 -0.486
UMD 36.909 36.149 -0.760
UNG 40.466 38.061 -2.405

Akron leads the day with the biggest exchange having won a technical upset. UK also secured the big victory by gaining the most points without needing to upset anybody to do it. Plus, they brought home the Kentucky Dodgeball Cup in their 3-1 win over a WKU home team.  Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-03-07”

Standings as of 2016-02-20

With so many teams playing this Sunday, we have a shakeup in the top 7… into an apparent top 6. I wouldn’t count anyone out. While it would be big news if GVSU gave up their now 6 game lead, the ratings of the rest of the top 8 are competitive. Plenty of weeks left and a few Nationals games to go before we truly see the shaping of a Championship bracket.

Nine of our 29 active member teams played this Sunday:

Team Pre Post Change
SVSU 47.267 48.708 1.441
JMU 48.016 49.161 1.145
GVSU 55.440 56.356 0.916
Towson 47.768 47.972 0.204
UVA 37.284 37.425 0.142
CMU 49.615 49.624 0.010
UMD 37.437 36.909 -0.528
VCU 43.937 42.975 -0.963
MSU 48.171 45.804 -2.367

There were five technical upsets in the day (of 14 games), two at Border War and three at the MDC. All of the three Overtime games on Sunday were technical upsets as well.

CMU def MSU 2-1  (1.024 exchange)
SVSU def MSU 4-1 (1.012)
SVSU def CMU 3-2 OT (0.596)
JMU def Towson 3-2 OT (0.523)
UVA def UMD 3-2 OT (0.508)

The greatest technical upset of the day was SVSU def CMU in Overtime. Saginaw gained a solid chunk of rating off of Central, but had they defeated CMU in regulation we would have seen SV at #2.

The largest rating change across the day was the CMU/MSU technical upset, but still pretty minor compared to the history of technical upsets across the Gonzalez system. All five of these matches can be considered strength adjusting upsets; allowing for upsets like these is crucial to maintaining the balance of the system. An allowable tolerance for the overall system success rate. Continue reading “Standings as of 2016-02-20”

Standings as of 2017-02-14

The end Gonzalez Rating changes for each participant following the Bobcat Bash:

Team Pre Post Change
BGSU 40.679 42.168 1.489
CMU 48.594 49.615 1.021
Ohio 34.768 35.044 0.276
Kent 44.893 45.139 0.246
BW 36.571 36.630 0.059
Akron 35.366 35.343 -0.023
WKU 42.564 41.906 -0.658
Miami 34.438 32.028 -2.410

There were no technical upsets in the Bobcat Bash, but there were a number of decent weight matches. Five teams increased their ratings, if only slightly in some cases. BGSU gained the most points over the weekend, owing to their three wins against comparative opponents.  Bowling Green had about 5 rating points on each competitor, which relates to about a 0.5 point gain for each win. Solid, steady gains.  Continue reading “Standings as of 2017-02-14”