LOS ANGELES – Hangar Studios: The World Dodgeball Federation is holding Worlds 2018 (WDBF Dodgeball World Championships 2018) over October 10-13, and USA Dodgeball is playing host. If you missed the feature article detailing the mechanics of this system, take a gander at the Complete History of the WDBF. Here if you missed Day 1!or Day 2! Here are the Champsionship Bracket results, with the final medal matches being played Saturday, starting at 12:30 PDT.
ITA def ARG 9-7 (M)
AUS def HKG 5-4 (W)
CAN def ITA 16-1 (W)
USA def MEX 11-2 (W)
USA def ITA 15-2 (M)
CAN def MEX 11-5 (M)
MYS def HKG 9-2 (M)
AUS def NZL 7-3 (M)
MYS def AUS 5-3 (W)
USA def CAN 8-5 (W)
USA def CAN 10-4 (M)
MYS def AUS 6-5 (M)
[OT matches were not noted]
Standings going into Medal matches
WDBF Womens, Sorted by Rating
|1||🇲🇾 Malaysia||51.275 (+5.815)||2017 Gold|
|2||🇺🇸 United States||46.764 (+2.010)||2017 Bronze|
|3||🇦🇺 Australia||45.493 (+0.305)||2017 Silver|
|4||🇨🇦 Canada||42.336 (+0.374)||2017 4th|
|5||🇭🇰 Hong Kong||40.187 (-1.121)||2018 Attended|
|6||🇮🇹 Italy||34.951 (-1.966)||2018 Attended|
|7||🇲🇽 Mexico||33.714 (-5.418)||2018 Attended|
|8||🇨🇲 Cameroon||41.350*||2018 Non Attending|
|9||🇨🇫 Central African Republic||38.650*||2018 Non Attending|
* Provisional Rating (<6 matches)
WDBF Mens, Sorted by Rating
|1||🇺🇸 United States||52.853 (+10.080)||2017 4th|
|2||🇲🇾 Malaysia||50.394 (+1.729)||2017 Gold|
|3||🇨🇦 Canada||47.969 (+3.911)||2017 Silver|
|4||🇦🇺 Australia||45.392 (+0.515)||2017 Bronze|
|5||🇲🇽 Mexico||41.212 (-0.620)||2018 Attended|
|6||🇳🇿 New Zealand||39.167 (-1.625)||2018 Attended|
|7||🇭🇰 Hong Kong||38.840 (-0.755)||2018 Attended|
|8||🇮🇹 Italy||35.194 (-2.605)||2018 Attended|
|9||🇦🇷 Argentina||29.370 (-10.360)||2018 Attended|
|10||🇨🇫 Central African Republic||42.135*||2018 Non Attending|
|11||🇨🇲 Cameroon||40.215*||2018 Non Attending|
|12||🇹🇩 Chad||39.000*||2018 Non Attending|
|13||🇬🇦 Gabon||38.650*||2018 Non Attending|
* Provisional Rating (<6 matches)
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team.
The overall success rate of the WDBF Mens system is currently 79.89% based on 35 technical upsets in 174 ranked matches played since 2013-09-27.
The overall success rate of the WDBF Womens system is currently 70.73% based on 36 technical upsets in 123 ranked matches played since 2013-09-27.
USA def CAN 10-4 (M)
49.766+1 def 51.056, exchanging 3.087
The bracket did not indicate any strong indications for technical upsets, six of the eight bracket matches would have been the highest technical upset recorded if they occurred.
Going into this Match, USA was the top seed for the Mens facing 4th seeded Canada. In terms of seeds, this wasn’t an upset, however, each match in the Gonzalez system affects a teams rating. Canada’s road through Mexico (0.117 exchange) had a slightly higher stake than the USA’s potential wins over Italy or Argentina (0.020, the minimum exchange). Coupled with a home court advantage of one rating point, this match was closely rated going in (a shallow rating gap of -0.290). This ranks low among upsets, 33 of 35 across the Mens Division. Because of it’s weight, Canada did lose quite a bit (3.087) going into their Bronze medal match against Australia.
Medal Matches Preview
12:30 PDT Womens Bronze – CAN³ v AUS⁴
AUS (45.493) v CAN (42.336) for 1.369 / 2.631 [5+ 2.053 / 3.947]
In their matches against MYS and USA, both CAN and AUS lost similar amounts to their rating (1.406 and 1.524) and will have the opportunity to fight for Bronze and the 3rd rank in the Standings. The bracket seeded Canada #3 because in the head-to-head tiebreaker, CAN def AUS 9-7 (45.962 def 44.296 for 1.667) in the Round Robin. AUS has the favor in terms of ratings here, and Australia womens has netted more ground over the event to this point. A potential upset by CAN would rank 18th of 36 technical upsets across the Womens Division, and is not unobtainable.
1:30 PDT Mens Bronze – AUS³ v CAN⁴
CAN (47.969) v AUS (45.392) for 1.485 / 2.515 [5+ 2.227 / 3.773]
Similar to the Women’s, Canada’s Mens have the slight favor even after the large exchange (3.087) they lost to USA in the bracket. Australia’s loss to Malaysia was still weighty (1.666) which leads both teams to where they are now: a closely rated match with a shallow rating gap (2.577) and statistically potential for a middle tier upset.
2:30 PDT Womens Gold – MYS¹ v USA²
MSY  (51.275) v USA  (47.764) for 1.298 / 2.702 [5+ 1.946 / 4.000]
This is the highest rated MYS has been over their history. They were 50.383 following their Gold win at Worlds 2016 in Melbourne. USA has work cut out for them, but predictions are less successful. This technical upset would rank 18 of 36, so about the same statistical weight as the Women’s Bronze match. Though this is Gold, and the #1 ranking spot. The last two Women’s Gold matches have been technical upsets by Malaysia:
2016 – MYS def CAN 6-5 (47.854 def 50.502, for 2.530)
2017 – MYS def AUS 7-5 (45.666 def 51.424, for 3.152)
3:30 PDT Mens Gold – USA¹ v MYS²
USA  (53.853) v MYS  (50.394) for 1.308 / 2.692 [5+ 1.962 / 4.000]
The USA Mens are currently rated highest than any point in their history. Coupled with a #1 seed, they face 2017 Gold competitor Malaysia whose historical high rating followed 2017 Gold match (54.530). The only Men’s Gold technical upset was CAN def USA 12-4 at Worlds 2014 in Hong Kong. A generation ago.