Where we are in 1000 ranked matches: OT

The data covered here only covers ranked matches played through the seven seasons of 2011 to 2017, specifically 2010-09-25 to 2016-10-10. In that time we’ve played 1002 ranked matches and recorded 1084 line item events. Events can include JV matches, scrimmages, special NCDA matches like the All Star Game, Ladies’ Match, May Day, among other NCDA related things. For the purposes of this article, we’ll only cover those 1002 matches.

Hunter Ford asks: Who’s had the most Overtime wins?

Overtime is a Michigan thing. The current four Michigan teams top the list in most Overtimes played, but we could get really into numbers on this subject. There’s four undefeated teams in OT, but those teams have only participated in 1 or 2 overtimes. “Predicting” when an overtime might occur given both team’s initial ratings has been a small white whale of mine. I don’t think there’s enough data yet. 

Total OT Played:

  1. MSU (17 / 5-12 / .294)
  2. CMU (14 / 8-6 / .571)
  3. SVSU (13 / 7-6 / .462)
  4. GVSU (13 / 9-4 / .692)
  5. UK (11 / 6-5 / .545)
  6. JMU (11 / 6-5 / .545)

There have been only 69 overtimes of our 1002 ranked matches (6.89%). There have been only 18 overtimes in 239 Nationals (7.53%). And most OT matches end with the original predicted winner, but by a small margin: just 29 technical upsets in 69 overtimes (42.03% are upsets).

In any case, the most OTW and most OTL leaders read like the current standings of the Michigan region:

OTW: GVSU (9-4 / .692) in OT, followed by CMU (8-6 / .571)
OTL: MSU (5-12 / .294) in OT, followed by SVSU (7-6 / .462)

Most points scored in OT?

Seven, and it’s only happened thrice. This year, on the same day UWP and DePaul went into overtime out in Nebraska, CMU and SVSU went into overtime in Saginaw. While tying up 2-2 at the end of regulation is the most common, only three games have been tied 3-3 in regulation. Dylan Fettig has called this a really cool stat, and I tend to agree: DePaul has went into overtime 4 times. Three of those OT games that resulted in a 4-3 box score. I’m told they still remain undefeated.

2011-04-09 DePaul def NSULA 2-1 OT
2012-04-14 BGSU def DePaul 4-3 OT
2013-11-09 DePaul def UNT 4-3 OT
2016-09-24 UWP def DePaul 4-3 OT

Note: Since the 1000 match point, we’ve had another OT added on 2016-10-30: BGSU def Akron 4-3 OT at the BGSU Invitational.

On the flip side, only one game did not score a single point in regulation:

Nationals 2016: Towson def UK 1-0 OT

It was a long game. What about the usual points scored over the course of an match that went into overtime?

  • 4-3: 3 times
  • 3-2: 36 times
  • 2-1: 29 times
  • 1-0: 1 time

Edits! More questions!

Overtime is rare for most teams.

Hunter Ford remarks: VCU probably has one of the least for as long as we’ve been around at 2-1.

Because of Overtime’s general rarity (69 of 1002) many teams are 0-0 in OT (15 teams of the 38 that have played). And since newer teams are liker to not play as much games, they are even less likely to make up that tiny 69 games decided in Overtime.

Of the teams that have played during these 1000 matches, K-State (Join #9) is the oldest team not to play in OT, followed by U of L (Join #16). VCU has 8 teams older than that have played three or fewer OT games.
K-State, UWP, WIU, EMU, MAD, LCC, UNL, RIT. All other teams that joined after VCU (a total of 11) have less than 3 OT matches.

Ya, so what’s my team’s record?

You guys are so selfish! Note: OUMI (Oakland) and DCC (Delta) played their last matches before our timeline: 2010-09-25 to 2016-10-10

Team OTW OTL OTW%
GVSU 9 4 0.692
CMU 8 6 0.571
Kent 7 2 0.778
UK 6 5 0.545
JMU 6 5 0.545
SVSU 6 7 0.462
BGSU 5 3 0.625
MSU 5 12 0.294
Towson 4 5 0.444
UWP 2 0 1.000
BW 2 0 1.000
DePaul 2 2 0.500
WKU 2 3 0.400
Miami 1 0 1.000
Akron 1 0 1.000
VCU 1 1 0.500
UMD 1 3 0.250
OSU 1 5 0.167
NSULA 0 1 0
MAD 0 1 0
UNT 0 1 0
PSU 0 1 0
Ohio 0 1 0
DCC 0 0 0
OUMI 0 0 0
K-State 0 0 0
Marshall 0 0 0
UofL 0 0 0
HFCC 0 0 0
WIU 0 0 0
EMU 0 0 0
LCC 0 0 0
UNL 0 0 0
RIT 0 0 0
SAU 0 0 0
DU 0 0 0
SHU 0 0 0
SU 0 0 0
UVA 0 0 0
Pitt 0 0 0

Author: Zigmister

DePaul Dodgeball #68 & NCDA Director of Officiating

8 thoughts on “Where we are in 1000 ranked matches: OT”

        1. Why don’t you and Wes both try reading and see the date this article encompasses and then the you’ll be able to do the correct math.

    1. Good friend, Kent has gone 7-2 in OT, over 177 total games played in our specified time range. #3 in OTW.
      2012-04-14 Nationals 2012: Saturday Kent def WKU 3 2
      2012-10-14 Round Robin Kent def SVSU 2 1
      2012-10-21 UMD Tournament Kent def JMU 3 2
      2014-01-25 Kentucky Invite Kent def UK 2 1
      2014-02-15 BEAST III Kent def JMU 3 2
      2014-11-09 Buckeye Invite Kent def OSU 3 2
      2015-01-31 UK Invitational UK def Kent 3 2
      2015-04-11 Nationals 2015 MSU def Kent 3 2
      2015-10-17 Pumpkinfest II Kent def Towson 3 2

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