Standings as of 2019-10-29

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2020 Season, we have 23 technical upsets in 71 ranked matches (67.61% success rate) across 10 events.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the each Nationals bracket since 2017.

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.07% based on 376 technical upsets in 1887 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25. There were six technical upsets since our last standings update.

BGSU def SVSU 3-1

42.690 def 46.785, exchanging 1.409 points

The biggest technical upset of the week came when BGSU defeated SVSU at the Redhawk Invite. Overall, the upset ranks 84th all time, and falls in the 77th percentile of all technical upsets.

Akron def SVSU 3-2 (OT)

41.442 def 45.376, exchanging 0.697 points

Akron pulled off their first win over SVSU in program history in overtime. Overall, the upset ranks 19th out of 66 overtime technical upsets all time.

Miami def CMU 6-1

45.038 (+1) def 49.138, exchanging 1.310

Miami used their home court advantage to pick up a signature win over CMU. Overall, the upset ranks 131st all time, and falls in the 65th percentile.

UC def SIUE 8-0

36.937 def 39.111, exchanging 1.217 points

Cincinnati defeated SIUE in what was SIUE’s first regular season game of the 2020 season. Overall, the upset ranks 190th all time and falls in the 49th percentile.

SVSU def Miami 3-2

45.629 def 46.194 (+1), exchanging 1.157 points

SVSU was able to pull off the technical upset against Miami on their home court to gain a healthy 1.157 points. Overall, the upset ranks 231st all time, and falls in the 38th percentile.

UC def Kent 6-0

38.154 def 38.207, exchanging 1.005 points

Cincinnati pulled off their second technical upset of the day by beating Kent State. Overall, the upset ranks 370th all time, and falls in the 1st percentile.


Net Rating Changes

Rating ChangesPrePostChange
UC36.93738.8751.939
BGSU42.69043.7611.071
Akron40.72541.6600.934
Miami46.19446.8270.633
Kent38.24938.199-0.050
CMU49.13848.493-0.645
SVSU45.62944.679-0.950
SIUE39.11136.179-2.932

With two technical upsets and the only blemish being an overtime loss to BGSU, the Bearcats of UC once again find themselves climbing up the ranks this week. The 2nd year team has seen quick growth in a short period of time thanks to the play of players like Brett Liming and Brannon McGinn.

BGSU also saw a healthy gain thanks mostly to their technical upset over SVSU. The Falcons have had a relatively up and down year, but they lead the league in games played so far this year with 12 total. That experience seems to be helping them in some big games.


Ratings, sorted.

MovementRankRatingTeam
153.931Towson
253.868GVSU
348.493CMU
447.532MSU
547.454JMU
↑ from 7646.827Miami
↓ from 6746.586Ohio
844.679SVSU
944.137UMD
↑ from 111043.761BGSU
↓ from 101143.643VCU
1242.685OSU
1342.372UWP
↑ from 161441.660Akron
↓ from 141541.109UNG
↓ from 151640.916UK
1740.424ZAG
1840.401OS
1940.023PSU
2040.007WMU
↑ from 242138.875UC
2238.199Kent
2337.863UVA
↑ from 252436.754UNL
↑ from 262536.228MC
↑ from 272636.202CSU
↓ from 212736.179SIUE
2836.013WVU
2935.607DePaul
3034.833BSU
3134.032GSU
3233.877GVSU-B
3333.713NSU
3432.793MSU-B
3532.000CMU-B

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec DocProbabilty Calculator

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