Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday.
In the 2020 Season, we have 17 technical upsets in 59 ranked matches (71.19% success rate) across 9 events.
The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the each Nationals bracket since 2017.
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.27% based on 370 technical upsets in 1875 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25. There were six technical upsets since our last standings update.
Kent def PSU 4-1
36.777 def 41.494, exchanging 1.472 points
The Golden Flashes picked up their first win of the season by defeating Penn State at the Pink Out V. The upset falls in the 83rd percentile, and ranks as the 64th largest upset of all time.
BSU def CSU 4-2
33.412 def 37.623, exchanging 1.421 points
Ball State won their first match of the season by defeating Cleveland State at the Pink Out V. The upset falls in the 78th percentile and ranks as the 81st largest upset of all time.
UMD def VCU 3-1
42.948 def 44.832, exchanging 1.188 points
The Terps picked up a key upset over East Coast rivals Virginia Commonwealth at the Backwoods Brawl. The upset falls in the 46th percentile and ranks as the 199th largest upset of all time.
UC def CSU 4-3 (OT)
37.031 def 38.180, exchanging 0.557 points
Cincinnati finished with a winning record at a tournament for the first time in program history, which included and overtime upset of Cleveland State. Out of all overtime upsets, it ranks 17th out of 65.
Ohio def VCU 4-1
44.628 def 45.655, exchanging 1.103 points
The Bobcats remain undefeated after a solid showing at the Backwoods Brawl, including an upset win over Virginia Commonwealth. The upset falls in the 26th percentile and ranks as the 274th largest upset all time.
OSU def PSU 4-2
Big Ten rivals Ohio State and Penn State battled at Pink Out V with the Buckeyes claiming victory. The upset falls in the 15th percentile and ranks as the 315th largest upset of all time.
Net Rating Changes
Ohio had the largest net gain in points since the last standings update thanks to a 3-0 showing with a technical upset. OSU also continued their hot start to the season with a pair of quality victories over CSU and PSU. UWP played in two events since the last standings update, going 3-2 with two of their wins coming against UNL. This was good for a net gain of 0.870 points.
On the opposite end, CSU, PSU, and VCU all saw the biggest drops in points since the last standings update. Despite the tightly contested matches, CSU went 0-4 at the Pink Out V which played a large role in their rating decline. PSU and VCU both went 1-2 at their respective tournaments, with the two losses for both teams being technical upsets.
|↑ from 5||4||47.532||MSU|
|↓ from 4||5||47.454||JMU|
|↑ from 9||6||46.586||Ohio|
|↑ from 8||7||46.194||Miami|
|↓ from 7||8||45.629||SVSU|
|↑ from 10||9||44.137||UMD|
|↓ from 6||10||43.643||VCU|
|↑ from 14||12||42.685||OSU|
|↑ from 15||14||41.109||UNG|
|↑ from 16||15||40.916||UK|
|↑ from 19||16||40.725||Akron|
|↓ from 12||19||40.023||PSU|
|↑ from 22||21||39.111||SIUE|
|↑ from 25||22||38.249||Kent|
|↑ from 24||23||37.863||UVA|
|↑ from 28||24||36.937||UC|
|↓ from 23||25||36.754||UNL|
|↑ from 27||26||36.228||MC|
|↓ from 21||27||36.202||CSU|
|↓ from 26||28||36.013||WVU|
See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec Doc, Probabilty Calculator