Standings as of 2018-03-20

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2018 Season, we have 52 technical upsets in 211 ranked matches (75.36% success rate) across 33 events.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 bracket. 

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.29% based on 288 technical upsets in 1461 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.

This weekend had two technical upsets over eight ranked matches.

SIUE def BSU 7-2

38.269 def 40.000+1, exchanging 1.273

SIUE def BSU 6-3

39.305 def 38.496+1, exchanging 1.019

Net Rating Changes

Rating Changes Pre Post Change
SIUE 38.269 40.324 2.056
UWP 44.902 45.588 0.686
BGSU 47.178 47.729 0.551
DePaul 37.599 38.127 0.528
UNL 38.304 37.090 -1.214
BSU 40.000 37.394 -2.606

Ball State enters into the System with a 37.394, compared to last week’s induction matches for UCF. UCF entered the League with a 36.603 after four matches. Both these teams have only played four matches so far, so both ratings are considered provisional until they reach 6 total games played.

Ratings, sorted.

Mov. Rank Rating Team
1 55.816 GVSU
2 55.030 CMU
3 48.851 SVSU
4 48.641 Kent
5 48.353 Towson
6 47.765 JMU
7 47.729 BGSU
↑ from 9 8 45.588 UWP
↓ from 8 9 45.134 UK
10 43.520 MSU
11 42.598 UNG
12 42.518 VCU
13 41.747 Ohio
14 40.797 PSU
15 40.502 † UNT
↑ from 25 16 40.324* SIUE
↓ from 16 17 40.139 † WKU
↓ from 17 18 40.020*† ZAG
↓ from 18 19 39.980*† OS
↓ from 19 20 39.367 Miami
↓ from 20 21 38.662 GSU
↓ from 21 22 38.586*† UWW
↓ from 22 23 38.557*† NIU
↓ from 23 24 38.427 OSU
↑ from 28 25 38.127 DePaul
26 37.803 UMD
27 37.722*† Pitt
→ Enter 28 37.394 BSU
↓ from 24 29 37.090 UNL
↓ from 29 30 36.865* WVU
31 36.636* Midland
↓ from 31 32 36.603* UCF
↓ from 32 33 36.336 Akron
↓ from 33 34 36.263 UVA
↓ from 34 35 35.556 SU
↓ from 35 36 34.996 MC
↓ from 36 37 34.159 CSU
↓ from 37 38 32.914 NSU
↓ from 38 39 32.595 BW

Movement as of 2018-03-06
* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.

All seven of our newest teams (Midland, SIUE, ZAG, OS, WVU, UCF, BSU) haven’t yet played six matches, so are considered having provisional ratings.

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 20112012201320142015201620172018
Systems: Gonzalez CurrentGonzalez OldPerroneChampLieblich
Spec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc

Author: Zigmister

DePaul Dodgeball #68 & NCDA Director of Officiating

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