In the 2022 Season, we have 36 technical upsets in 128 ranked matches (71.88% success rate) across 21 events.
The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for each Nationals bracket since 2017.
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 79.80% based on 434 technical upsets in 2,148 ranked matches played since 09-25-2010. There was one technical upset since our last standings update.
Akron def CSU 2-1
41.133 def 40.221 (+1), exchanging 1.009
Akron defeated CSU at the CSU Weekly. Overall, the technical upset ranks 425th all time and falls in the 2nd percentile.
Ratings, sorted.
| Mov. | Rank | Rating | Team | W-L |
| — | 1 | 48.972 | UC | 17-2 |
| — | 2 | 48.593 | GVSU | 13-2 |
| — | 3 | 46.017 | OSU | 11-4 |
| — | 4 | 45.453 | MSU | 8-3 |
| — | 5 | 44.918 | JMU | 9-5 |
| — | 6 | 44.527 | Ohio | 7-5 |
| — | 7 | 42.628 | PSU | 8-4 |
| — | 8 | 42.470 | BGSU | 10-6 |
| — | 9 | 42.366 | UNL | 5-1 |
| — | 10 | 42.142 | Akron | 10-8 |
| — | 11 | 40.806 | Towson | 9-9 |
| ↑ from 13 | 12 | 39.944 | SVSU | 5-12 |
| ↑ from 14 | 13 | 39.612 | UVA | 2-3 |
| ↓ from 12 | 14 | 39.212 | CSU | 5-7 |
| — | 15 | 38.166 | UK | 1-5 |
| — | 16 | 38.073 | UWP | 4-11 |
| — | 17 | 37.742 | VCU | 1-7 |
| — | 18 | 37.261 | UMD | 3-11 |
| — | 19 | 37.205 | BSU | 0-3 |
| — | 20 | 36.624 | WMU | 0-6 |
| — | 21 | 36.615 | Kent | 0-3 |
| — | 22 | 35.028 | Miami | 0-9 |
Rating Changes
| Rating Changes | Pre | Post | Change |
| Akron | 41.133 | 42.142 | 1.009 |
| CSU | 40.221 | 39.212 | -1.009 |
See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015,
2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec Doc, Probability Calculator