Standings as of 2019-11-19

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2020 Season, we have 32 technical upsets in 122 ranked matches (73.77% success rate) across 15 events.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the each Nationals bracket since 2017.

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.13% based on 385 technical upsets in 1901 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25. There were two technical upsets since our last standings update.

Ohio def Towson 4-1

47.286 (+1) def 53.972, exchanging 1.569 points

The Ohio Bobcats were able to defeat #1 Towson at their No Fear Invitational. It was a big moment for the Bobcats and gave them a healthy 1.569 points. The upset ranks 29th all time, and falls in the 93rd percentile.

UK def SVSU 4-2

39.712 def 43.479, exchanging 1.377 points

Kentucky was able to avenge their earlier loss to SVSU this season by beating the Cardinals 4-2 at the No Fear Invitational. Overall, the upset ranks 105th all time, and falls in the 73rd percentile.

CSU def UK 5-1

38.611 def 41.089, exchanging 1.248 points

Cleveland State was able to cap a perfect 3-0 day by defeating Kentucky at the No Fear Invitational. Overall, the upset ranks 173rd all time and falls in the 55th percentile.

UC def UK 5-2

38.875 def 40.916, exchanging 1.204 points

The Cincinnati Bearcats started their day at the No Fear Invitational strong by defeating Kentucky 5-2 and securing another upset for the year. Overall, the upset ranks 200th all time, and falls in the 48th percentile.

OSU def SVSU 4-2

42.675 def 44.679, exchanging 1.200 points

Ohio State was able to continue their upward climb this season by defeating SVSU 4-2 at the No Fear Invitational. Overall, the upset ranks 203rd all time, and falls in the 47th percentile.

JMU def CMU 5-1

48.165 def 48.493, exchanging 1.033 points

The Dukes were able to pull of a narrow upset against CMU in a battle of NCDA titans. Overall, the upset ranks 347th all time and falls in the 10th percentile.


Net Rating Changes

Rating ChangesPrePostChange
CSU36.67939.8593.179
Ohio47.28649.6302.344
JMU47.54449.2081.665
UNL36.75438.2131.459
OSU42.68543.8851.200
GVSU53.87854.8720.994
Akron40.15441.1390.985
BGSU43.76144.5500.790
UWP42.37243.0780.706
Miami46.82747.2310.404
UC38.87539.1890.313
WVU36.01335.862-0.151
SIUE36.17935.949-0.230
UNG41.10940.749-0.360
GSU34.03233.623-0.409
BSU34.83334.246-0.587
UVA37.59636.909-0.688
UK40.91639.841-1.075
CMU48.49346.976-1.517
Ohio-B33.00031.425-1.575
DePaul35.60733.672-1.935
Kent37.16535.224-1.942
Towson53.96251.566-2.395
SVSU44.67941.561-3.118

It should come as no surprise that CSU, Ohio, and JMU came away with big gains since all three schools went undefeated this past weekend and got some upsets along the way. For CSU, Joe Walsh was able to seemingly will his team to victory with dominant play. Ohio and JMU were more combined efforts, beating top tier opponents in Towson and CMU, respectively.

For those unaware, there was also another event happening at UWP, the Pioneer Invite, which included UWP, UNL, SIUE, and DePaul. UNL were the biggest gainers from the event by going 2-1, with the only defeat coming in overtime against host UWP.


Ratings, sorted.

MovementRankRatingTeam
↑ from 2154.872GVSU
↓ from 1251.566Towson
↑ from 6349.630Ohio
449.208JMU
547.532MSU
↑ from 7647.231Miami
↓ from 3746.976CMU
↑ from 10844.550BGSU
944.541VCU
↑ from 121043.885OSU
1143.386UMD
↑ from 131243.078UWP
↓ from 81341.561SVSU
1441.385PSU
↑ from 191541.139Akron
↓ from 151640.749UNG
1740.424ZAG
1840.401OS
↑ from 201939.997WMU
↑ from 252039.859CSU
↓ from 162139.841UK
↓ from 212239.189UC
↑ from 242338.213UNL
↓ from 222436.909UVA
↑ from 262536.228MC
↑ from 272635.949SIUE
↑ from 282735.862WVU
↓ from 232835.224Kent
↑ from 302934.246BSU
↑ from 323033.877GVSU-B
↑ from 333133.713NSU
↓ from 293233.672DePaul
↓ from 313333.623GSU
↑ from 353432.793MSU-B
↑ from 363532.000CMU-B
New3631.425Ohio-B

Strength of Schedule Spotlight

This section is meant to provide a perspective on which teams are playing the hardest schedules by Gonzalez Rating. It is a pure average of all the teams played at the time of playing them.

RankTeamAvg. Opp. Rating
1WMU53.868
2MSU48.647
3JMU45.975
4GVSU45.803
5Towson45.440
6SVSU44.694
7CMU44.426
8UMD43.469
9Miami43.074
10Ohio43.032
11GSU42.891
12BGSU42.805
13OSU42.786
14WVU41.992
15UVA41.965
16UK41.519
17VCU41.133
18Kent40.947
19UC40.592
20PSU40.192
21Akron40.106
22UWP40.030
23CSU39.712
24UNL39.585
25UNG39.327
26DePaul38.435
27SIUE38.105
28BSU37.019

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec DocProbabilty Calculator

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