Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday.
In the 2020 Season, we have 26 technical upsets in 85 ranked matches (69.41% success rate) across 13 events.
The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the each Nationals bracket since 2017.
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.06% based on 379 technical upsets in 1901 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25. There were two technical upsets since our last standings update.
CSU def Kent 4-1
35.975 def 38.642 (+1), exchanging 1.367 points
CSU was able to defeat Kent State at Kent’s Summit Street Slugfest, and gained a healthy 1.367 point exchange. Overall, the upset falls in the 71st percentile, and ranks 109th of 379 technical upsets.
Kent def Akron 3-0
37.281 (+1) def 41.887, exchanging 1.361 points
Kent State took advantage of their home court and picked up an upset over Akron. Overall, the upset falls in the 71st percentile, and ranks 111th of 379 technical upsets.
Net Rating Changes
Rating Changes | Pre | Post | Change |
PSU | 40.023 | 41.385 | 1.362 |
Ohio | 46.586 | 47.286 | 0.700 |
CSU | 36.202 | 36.679 | 0.478 |
Kent | 38.199 | 37.165 | -1.034 |
Akron | 41.660 | 40.154 | -1.506 |
Ohio and Penn State came out of the event as the biggest gainers, going 3-0 and 2-1, respectively. The Nittany Lions were able to avenge an earlier season loss to Kent along with picking up a win over CSU. Their only loss came against Ohio, which was an overtime thriller.
Despite the upset victory over Akron, Kent saw themselves tumble a bit. A 4-game slate is tough to compete with, but the added experience should prove beneficial when they travel to Ohio to compete in the No Fear Invitational.
Ratings, sorted.
Movement | Rank | Rating | Team |
— | 1 | 53.962 | Towson |
— | 2 | 53.878 | GVSU |
— | 3 | 48.493 | CMU |
— | 4 | 47.544 | JMU |
— | 5 | 47.532 | MSU |
↑ from 7 | 6 | 47.286 | Ohio |
↓ from 6 | 7 | 46.827 | Miami |
— | 8 | 44.679 | SVSU |
— | 9 | 44.541 | VCU |
— | 10 | 43.761 | BGSU |
— | 11 | 43.386 | UMD |
— | 12 | 42.685 | OSU |
— | 13 | 42.372 | UWP |
↑ from 19 | 14 | 41.385 | PSU |
— | 15 | 41.109 | UNG |
— | 16 | 40.916 | UK |
— | 17 | 40.424 | ZAG |
— | 18 | 40.401 | OS |
↓ from 14 | 19 | 40.154 | Akron |
— | 20 | 39.997 | WMU |
— | 21 | 38.875 | UC |
↑ from 23 | 22 | 37.596 | UVA |
↓ from 22 | 23 | 37.165 | Kent |
— | 24 | 36.754 | UNL |
↑ from 26 | 25 | 36.679 | CSU |
↓ from 25 | 26 | 36.228 | MC |
— | 27 | 36.179 | SIUE |
— | 28 | 36.013 | WVU |
— | 29 | 35.607 | DePaul |
— | 30 | 34.833 | BSU |
— | 31 | 34.032 | GSU |
— | 32 | 33.877 | GVSU-B |
— | 33 | 33.713 | NSU |
— | 34 | 32.793 | MSU-B |
— | 35 | 32.000 | CMU-B |
See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec Doc, Probabilty Calculator