Standings as of 2019-03-26

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2019 Season, we have 43 technical upsets in 220 ranked matches (80.45% success rate) across 29 events. Additionally, there have been four JV matches entered into the Records.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 and 2018 bracket. 

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.24% based on 349 technical upsets in 1766 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.

There were five technical upsets since our last standings update.

CMU def SVSU 3-2

46.713 def 50.757 (+1), exchanging 1.504

Central Michigan defeated in-state rival Saginaw Valley 3-2 to open up their double header. It is Central Michigan’s first technical upset since defeating Grand Valley on 3-25-2018. The technical upset ranks 47th all time, and falls in the 87th percentile.

UMD def OSU 3-1

38.816 def 40.554, exchanging 1.174

Maryland defeated Ohio State at the ‘Mountain Madness’ hosted by West Virginia. The victory gives UMD the series lead at 2-1 all time against OSU. The technical upset ranks 199th all time, and falls in the 43rd percentile.

WVU def CSU 3-1

35.653 (+1) def 37.016, exchanging 1.036

The Mountaineers pulled off a solid win at home against Cleveland State. Overall, the technical upset ranks 312th all time, and falls in the 10th percentile.

UVA def CSU 4-2

37.810 def 38.039, exchanging 1.023

The Cavaliers had a solid showing at ‘Mountain Madness’ which started with their technical upset over CSU. The technical upset ranks 320th all time, and falls in the 8th percentile.

CMU def SVSU 2-1 OT

48.217 def 49.252 (+1), exchanging 0.602

CMU got their second victory of the doubleheader in overtime fashion and took a 4-2 series lead over SVSU for 2019. The technical upset ranks 35th all time for overtime upsets.

Net Rating Changes

Rating ChangesPrePostChange
PSU40.92443.2892.366
CMU46.71348.8192.106
UMD38.59839.9901.392
UVA37.81038.8901.081
Miami47.60848.4580.851
UWP39.56439.6310.067
BGSU45.45545.451-0.004
UC37.35536.440-0.914
WVU35.65334.553-1.101
OSU40.72839.380-1.348
SVSU50.75748.650-2.106
CSU38.03935.650-2.390

Ratings, sorted.

Mov.RankRatingTeam
157.309GVSU
253.303Towson
↑ from 4349.587JMU
↑ from 7448.819CMU
↓ from 3548.650SVSU
648.458Miami
↓ from 5747.853MSU
845.451BGSU
944.473VCU
1043.923Ohio
1143.872Akron
1243.516Kent
1343.289PSU
↑ from 151440.679UNG
↑ from 161540.622UNT
↑ from 171640.534UK
↑ from 181740.260ZAG
↑ from 191840.230OS
↑ from 251939.990UMD
2039.767WKU
↑ from 222139.631UWP
↓ from 212239.615WMU
↓ from 142339.380OSU
↓ from 232439.185UWW
↓ from 242539.163NIU
↑ from 282638.890UVA
↓ from 262738.510SIUE
↑ from 292837.722Midland
↑ from 312937.197UNL
↑ from 323036.918UCF
↑ from 333136.912SU
↓ from 303236.440UC
↓ from 273335.650CSU
↑ from 353434.666MC
↑ from 363534.656GSU
↓ from 343634.553WVU
3734.036NSU
3833.987DePaul
3933.203BW
4032.413BSU

Movement as of 2019-02-12

* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.

Strength of Schedule Spotlight

Strength of Schedule is typically used as a measure to determine what level of competition each team is facing relative to their peers.  The way to read it is fairly simple, the higher the average opponent rating, the tougher your schedule.

RankTeamAvg. Opp. Rating
1WMU50.629
2MSU47.949
3CMU47.489
4SVSU46.973
5JMU45.480
6GVSU45.446
7UMD44.346
8Towson44.191
9VCU44.006
10BGSU43.669
11Miami43.636
12Kent43.629
13Ohio42.653
14UK42.516
15UC42.230
16UVA42.030
17UWP41.952
18OSU41.874
19UNL41.850
20PSU41.689
21BSU41.576
22WVU41.222
23CSU40.878
24Akron40.828
25MC39.650
26GSU39.193
27BW39.054
28SIUE39.046
29NSU37.670
30UNG36.402
31DePaul34.312

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 201120122013201420152016201720182019
Systems: Gonzalez CurrentSpec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc
Prediction Calculation: Gonzalez Predictor



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