Standings as of 2019-03-05

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2019 Season, we have 38 technical upsets in 202 ranked matches (81.19% success rate) across 27 events. Additionally, there have been four JV matches entered into the Records.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 and 2018 bracket. 

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.32% based on 344 technical upsets in 1748 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.

There were seven technical upsets since our last standings update.

NSU def DePaul 6-1

31.165 def 37.442, exchanging 1.628

Northwestern State picked up their first win of the season against DePaul in Wisconsin. It was NSU’s first victory since the 2013-14 season, and ranks in the 95th percentile as the 18th highest rated upset of all-time.

Ohio def BGSU 3-1

41.951 def 46.378 (+1), exchanging 1.543

Ohio was able to best Bowling Green State at ODC in an important victory away from home. The Bobcats continue to shoot up the rankings with big wins, as this upset ranks in the 90th percentile and is tied for the 34th rated upset of all-time.

CSU def UC 7-1

37.162 def 40.000, exchanging 1.284

Cleveland State defeated Cincinnati in their induction match to the NCDA which also resulted in a technical upset. CSU’s victory ranks in the 62nd percentile as the 131st ranked technical upset all-time.

NSU def DePaul 6-0

32.792 def 35.231, exchanging 1.244

Make that two victories for Demon Dodgeball. In their second technical upset, NSU walked away with a healthy 1.244 point exchange. The upset ranks in the 56th percentile as the 151st ranked upset all-time.

UMD def UVA 4-1

37.446 def 38.961, exchanging 1.152

Maryland has now evened up their 2019 record with the Cavaliers at two wins each. Maryland’s technical upset victory places in the 39th percentile and ranks as the 211th upset all-time.

BGSU def Miami 3-2 (OT)

44.835 (+1) def 48.227, exchanging 0.620

BGSU was able to guarantee a chance to compete for the ODC title by defeating Miami in the last scheduled match of the day. Overall, the upset ranks 30th among all overtime upsets.

Akron def Kent 3-2 (OT)

43.337 def 44.052, exchanging 0.536

Akron picked up their second ever program win over Kent State, defeating the Flashes in overtime for a 0.536 point exchange. Overall, the upset ranks 50th among all overtime upsets.

Net Rating Changes

Rating ChangesPrePostChange
NSU31.31334.0362.724
OSU39.62541.1341.509
UMD37.46638.5981.132
Towson52.21953.3031.084
Ohio42.84843.9231.075
UWP38.83239.5640.731
Miami47.26347.6080.345
Akron43.69643.8720.176
CSU37.54737.6330.086
BGSU45.63345.455-0.178
VCU44.73844.473-0.264
Kent43.88343.516-0.367
JMU50.14549.587-0.558
UVA39.20337.810-1.393
UC40.00037.355-2.645
DePaul37.44233.987-3.455

For the second weekend in a row we welcome a new team to the NCDA. Everyone say hello to the University of Cincinnati!

With three events going on there were a lot of teams getting in on the action. NSU’s two upset victories over DePaul placed them at the very top of net rating changes with a staggering 2.724 point gain. OSU also came away with some important wins as well over Cincinnati and CSU to give them a significant bump. Maryland was the biggest point earner out of the East Coast thanks to their upset victory over Virginia.

Ratings, sorted.

Mov.RankRatingTeam
157.309GVSU
253.303Towson
350.757SVSU
449.587JMU
547.853MSU
647.608Miami
746.713CMU
845.455BGSU
944.473VCU
↑ from 121043.923Ohio
1143.872Akron
↓ from 101243.516Kent
↑ from 211341.134OSU
↓ from 131440.924PSU
↓ from 141540.679UNG
↓ from 151640.622UNT†
↓ from 161740.534UK
↓ from 171840.260ZAG*†
↓ from 181940.230OS*†
2039.767WKU
↑ from 222139.615WMU*
↑ from 262239.564UWP
↑ from 242339.185UWW*†
↑ from 252439.163NIU*†
↑ from 302538.598UMD
↑ from 272638.510SIUE†
↓ from 232737.810UVA
2837.722Midland*†
2937.633CSU
↓ from 193037.355UC*
↑ from 323137.197UNL
↑ from 333236.918UCF†
↑ from 343336.912SU†
↑ from 353435.653WVU
↑ from 363534.666MC
↑ from 373634.656GSU
↑ from 403734.036NSU
↓ from 313833.987DePaul
↓ from 383933.203BW
↓ from 394032.413BSU

Movement as of 2019-02-12

* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.

Strength of Schedule Spotlight

Strength of Schedule is typically used as a measure to determine what level of competition each team is facing relative to their peers.  The way to read it is fairly simple, the higher the average opponent rating, the tougher your schedule.

RankTeamAvg. Opp. Rating
1WMU50.629
2MSU47.949
3CMU47.224
4SVSU46.930
5UMD45.586
6JMU45.480
7GVSU45.446
8Towson44.191
9Miami44.070
10VCU44.006
11BGSU43.977
12Kent43.629
13PSU43.126
14UVA43.086
15Ohio42.653
16UK42.516
17OSU42.357
18WVU41.915
19UNL41.850
20UWP41.674
21BSU41.576
22CSU41.239
23Akron40.828
24MC39.650
25GSU39.193
26BW39.054
27SIUE39.046
28NSU37.670
29UNG36.402
30DePaul34.312

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 201120122013201420152016201720182019
Systems: Gonzalez CurrentSpec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc
Prediction Calculation: Gonzalez Predictor

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