Standings as of 2019-01-29

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2019 Season, we have 27 technical upsets in 136 ranked matches (80.15% success rate) across 21 events. Additionally, there have been four JV matches entered into the Records.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 and 2018 bracket. 

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.20% based on 333 technical upsets in 1682 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.

PSU def Akron 4-2

39.681(+1) def 44.488, exchanging 1.381

The Nittany Lions finished 2-1 at their home event with wins over Akron and WVU.  In their upset over Akron, PSU was able to gain a healthy 1.381 rating points which helped move them up the standings.  If you missed it, this game was literal seconds away from going to overtime if not for Steve Herrick’s catch to seal their victory.  The upset falls in the 73rd percentile, and is the 89th ranked upset all time.

Net Rating Changes

Rating Changes Pre Post Change
PSU 39.791 41.508 1.718
JMU 49.696 50.145 0.449
WVU 36.792 36.080 -0.712
Akron 44.232 42.778 -1.454

PSU’s upset over Akron carried the most substantial weight out of all the ranked matches at Rally in the Valley, giving them the most points earned on the weekend.   JMU was also able to walk away with three wins to help their overall rating, and close the gap between themselves and rival Towson.

Ratings, sorted.

Mov. Rank Rating Team
1 56.835 GVSU
2 51.403 Towson
3 50.145 JMU
4 48.122 SVSU
5 47.086 CMU
6 46.797 Miami
7 46.648 MSU
8 45.222 Kent
9 45.219 BGSU
10 44.944 VCU
↑ from 12 11 43.565 Ohio
↓ from 11 12 42.778 Akron
↑ from 19 13 41.508 PSU
↓ from 13 14 41.071 OSU
↓ from 14 15 40.679 UNG
↓ from 15 16 40.622† UNT
↓ from 16 17 40.260*† ZAG
↓ from 17 18 40.230*† OS
↓ from 18 19 40.140 UK
20 39.767† WKU
21 39.203 UVA
22 39.185*† UWW
23 39.163*† NIU
24 38.832 UWP
25 38.510† SIUE
26 38.191 CSU
27 37.722*† Midland
28 37.466 UMD
29 37.442† DePaul
30 37.197 UNL
31 36.918† UCF
32 36.912† SU
33 36.080 WVU
34 34.666 MC
35 34.656 GSU
36 33.613 BSU
37 33.203 BW
38 31.313 NSU

Movement as of 2019-01-22

* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.

Strength of Schedule Spotlight

Strength of Schedule is typically used as a measure to determine what level of competition each team is facing relative to their peers.  The way to read it is fairly simple, the higher the average opponent rating, the tougher your schedule.

Rank Team Avg. Opp. Rating
1 MSU 48.604
2 SVSU 48.220
3 CMU 46.695
4 JMU 45.648
5 GVSU 45.279
6 UMD 45.141
7 PSU 44.336
8 Kent 44.219
9 Miami 44.010
10 BGSU 44.007
11 UVA 43.569
12 Towson 43.287
13 UK 43.126
14 VCU 42.755
15 UWP 42.644
16 OSU 42.277
17 Ohio 41.980
18 UNL 41.850
19 WVU 41.108
20 BSU 40.952
21 Akron 40.388
22 MC 39.650
23 CSU 39.464
24 GSU 39.193
25 BW 39.054
26 SIUE 39.046
27 NSU 38.045
28 UNG 36.402

 


See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 201120122013201420152016201720182019
Systems: Gonzalez Current
Spec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc
Prediction Calculation: Gonzalez Predictor

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