Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday.
In the 2019 Season, we have 11 technical upsets in 59 ranked matches (81.36% success rate) across 9 events. Additionally, there have been three JV matches entered into the Records.
The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 and 2018 bracket.
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.25% based on 317 technical upsets in 1605 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.
Since our last standings update, we had five technical upsets across twenty-six ranked matches and three tournaments.
UNL def UWP 4-2
36.210 (+1) def 40.975, exchanging 1.376
Nebraska had the opportunity to host Midway rival Wisconsin-Platteville on October 6th and was able to come away with two upset wins in the process. As a result, the Cornhuskers improved their overall rank, going from 34th to 29th.
UNL def UWP 3-2
37.586 (+1) def 39.598, exchanging 1.101
Second verse, same as the first (more or less).
UK def BGSU 4-3 (OT)
43.732 def 46.025, exchanging 0.615
The Wildcats have the privilege of being the first overtime upset of the season with their win over BGSU, which ranks 30th out of 53 overtime upsets all time. Because of the overtime result, exchanges are reduced to half their normal amount, resulting in an upset exchange of 0.615.
Ohio def BGSU 4-3 OT
43.027 def 45.411, exchanging 0.619
While Ohio is unable to claim the first overtime upset of the season, they can take solace in picking up their second ever program win over BGSU. Overall, the upset ranks 29th out of 53 overtime upsets all time. Once again, the resulting exchange is reduced in half because of the overtime result.
OSU def BGSU 3-1
40.521 def 44.791, exchanging 1.427
Ohio State pulled off the only technical upset in regulation at Akron’s tournament, which provided a hefty 1.427 exchange. Overall, it ranks 70th out of 317 total upsets all time. It was also the first win for the Buckeyes over BGSU since almost exactly two years ago when they beat them at Kent State’s Summit Street Slugfest on 10-22-2016.
Net Rating Changes
In the two week period following our last update to the standings, Akron pulled the largest positive net change thanks to their 3-0 performance at home. Kent should also be commended for retaining their control over the state of Ohio as shown by their 3-0 record at the same tournament. A special congratulations can be made to West Virginia as well, who picked up their program’s first ever victory with a win over Baldwin Wallace!
While there certainly has been a lot of attention directed towards Pinkout IV, we also need to acknowledge Maryland’s home tournament which happened since our last standings update. While there were no upsets at the event, Towson was able to continue their upward climb in the rankings, and have taken the lead with most wins on the season while maintaining an undefeated record. The 50.272 rating is also their highest in program history, eclipsing the 49.875 mark they held at Nationals 2018 last season.
Movement as of 2018-10-02
* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† (will be displayed starting at season halfpoint) denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.
See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019
Systems: Gonzalez Current
Spec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc