Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday.
In the 2019 Season, we have 6 technical upsets in 33 ranked matches (81.82% success rate) across 6 events. It’s still early. Additionally, there have been three JV matches entered into the Records.
The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 and 2018 bracket.
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.24% based on 312 technical upsets in 1579 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.
Since our last standings update, we had five technical upsets across eleven ranked matches and two tournaments.
Miami def BGSU 5-1
43.153 (+1) def 48.081, exchanging 1.393
In our biggest technical upset of the 2019 season thus far, Miami defeated Bowling Green State in their home tournament. With a rating gap of -3.927, and the usual home court advantage of one point, this was a more upper tier technical upset in historical terms. The upset ranked 79th of 312 technical upsets, in the 75th percentile.
Miami def Kent 5-2
44.546 (+1) def 45.722, exchanging 1.018
Kent def BGSU 5-2
45.430 def 47.203, exchanging 1.177
Ohio def Akron 4-3
41.230 def 41.320, exchanging 1.009
UNG def GSU 7-0
37.007 def 36.173 (+1), exchanging 1.017
Net Rating Changes
Miami took advantage of a tough schedule and it paid off tremendously for the RedHawks. This has brought them within striking distance to legitimately become the highest rated team in Ohio, as they sit roughly half a point behind BGSU and one point behind Kent, both teams they beat this past weekend.
North Georgia also gained good value from their two wins over their in state rivals, especially picking up the wins on Georgia Southern’s home court. Their highest club rating was prior to Nationals 2018 when the Nighthawks had a rating of 42.598. While they are still a bit away from that previous record, if they are able to roll like they did against most of the South region last season expect them to get close to those heights once again.
Movement as of 2018-09-25
* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† (will be displayed starting at season halfpoint) denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.
See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019
Systems: Gonzalez Current
Spec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc