Standings as of 2018-10-02

Standings are aimed to be released by the end of every Tuesday. 

In the 2019 Season, we have 6 technical upsets in 33 ranked matches (81.82% success rate) across 6 events. It’s still early. Additionally, there have been three JV matches entered into the Records.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the Nationals 2017 and 2018 bracket. 

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.24% based on 312 technical upsets in 1579 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25.

Since our last standings update, we had five technical upsets across eleven ranked matches and two tournaments.

Miami def BGSU 5-1

43.153 (+1) def 48.081, exchanging 1.393

In our biggest technical upset of the 2019 season thus far, Miami defeated Bowling Green State in their home tournament. With a rating gap of -3.927, and the usual home court advantage of one point, this was a more upper tier technical upset in historical terms. The upset ranked 79th of 312 technical upsets, in the 75th percentile.

Miami def Kent 5-2

44.546 (+1) def 45.722, exchanging 1.018

Kent def BGSU 5-2

45.430 def 47.203, exchanging 1.177

Ohio def Akron 4-3

41.230 def 41.320, exchanging 1.009

UNG def GSU 7-0

37.007 def 36.173 (+1), exchanging 1.017

Net Rating Changes

Rating Changes Pre Post Change
Miami 43.153 45.574 2.420
UNG 37.007 38.837 1.830
Kent 45.722 46.607 0.885
Ohio 41.555 42.239 0.684
BSU 36.016 35.142 -0.874
Akron 41.370 40.311 -1.059
GSU 36.173 34.343 -1.830
BGSU 48.081 46.025 -2.055

Miami took advantage of a tough schedule and it paid off tremendously for the RedHawks.  This has brought them within striking distance to legitimately become the highest rated team in Ohio, as they sit roughly half a point behind BGSU and one point behind Kent, both teams they beat this past weekend.

North Georgia also gained good value from their two wins over their in state rivals, especially picking up the wins on Georgia Southern’s home court.  Their highest club rating was prior to Nationals 2018 when the Nighthawks had a rating of 42.598.  While they are still a bit away from that previous record, if they are able to roll like they did against most of the South region last season expect them to get close to those heights once again.

Ratings, sorted.

Rank Rating Team
1 55.396 GVSU
2 52.022 CMU
3 49.652 Towson
4 47.974 SVSU
5 46.607 Kent
6 46.198 JMU
7 46.025 BGSU
8 45.574 Miami
9 43.946 VCU
10 43.732 UK
11 42.639 MSU
12 42.239 Ohio
13 41.148 UVA
14 40.975 UWP
15 40.622* UNT
16 40.616 OSU
17 40.489* SIUE
18 40.311 Akron
19 40.260* ZAG
20 40.230* OS
21 40.116 PSU
22 39.767 WKU
23 39.185* UWW
24 39.163* NIU
25 38.837 UNG
26 37.722* Midland
27 37.502 UMD
28 37.442 DePaul
29 37.252 CSU
30 36.918 UCF
31 36.912 SU
32 36.528* WVU
33 36.492 MC
34 36.210 UNL
35 35.142 BSU
36 34.691 BW
37 34.343 GSU
38 32.435 NSU

Movement as of 2018-09-25

* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† (will be displayed starting at season halfpoint) denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 20112012201320142015201620172018, 2019
Systems: Gonzalez Current
Spec Document: Gonzalez System Spec Doc

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