In the 2023 Season, we have 5 technical upsets in 23 ranked matches (78.26% success rate) across 4 events.
This season marks the introduction of the NCDA Hybrid Ranking System as voted on by member teams during the 2022 election. The Hybrid Ranking System uses a combination of the Gonzalez System and the NHL Points System.
The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for each Nationals bracket between 2017 and 2022.
The Champ Points System is a point-reward system based on the outcome of a match. A team who wins a match is awarded 2 points whether in regulation or overtime, a team who loses a match in overtime is awarded 1 point, and a team who loses in regulation is awarded 0 points.
The Hybrid Rank is determined by using a team’s rank under both the Gonzalez and Champ systems, with 70% weight on the Gonzalez rank and 30% weight on the Champ rank. Once combined, that gives a team their ‘Hybrid Rating’ and the lower that number is the better position that team will rank overall. As an example, if a team ranks 10th in Gonzalez and 20th in Champ, their Hybrid Rating will be 13.000 (i.e. (10 x 70%) + (20 x 30%) = 13).
Technical Upset Spotlight
A technical upset is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team in the Gonzalez System. The overall success rate of the system is currently 79.77% based on 448 technical upsets in 2,215 ranked matches played since September 25, 2010. There were three technical upsets since our last standings update.
Akron def BGSU 3-2 OT
38.280 def 40.561, exchanging 0.614
Akron defeated BGSU at the Redhawk Invite. Overall, the technical upset ranks 207th all time and falls in the 53rd percentile. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 45th all time among overtime upsets.
PSU def JMU 5-2
44.227 def 45.380, exchanging 1.115
PSU defeated JMU at Maryland Madness. Overall, the technical upset ranks 310th all time and falls in the 39th percentile.
PSU def Towson 3-1
43.190 def 43.563, exchanging 1.037
PSU defeated Towson at Maryland Madness. Overall, the technical upset ranks 398th all time and falls in the 11th percentile.
|Rank||Team||Hybrid Rating||Gonzalez Rank||Champ Rank||W-OTL-L|
Gonzalez Rating Changes
Champ Point Changes
See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015,
2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022, 2023
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec Doc, Probability Calculator