Standings as of 2020-01-28

Standings are released every Tuesday

In the 2020 Season, we have 33 technical upsets in 133 ranked matches (75.19% success rate) across 17 events.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for the each Nationals bracket since 2017.

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 80.19% based on 386 technical upsets in 1949 ranked matches played since 2010-09-25. There was one technical upset since our last standings update.

CMU def MSU 4-1

45.933 def 48.203, exchanging 1.227 points

Fire up Chips. CMU was able to pull off a technical upset win over in-state rival MSU at the Pre-MDC event. Overall, the upset ranks 185th all time and falls in the 52nd percentile.


Ratings, sorted.

Mov.RankRatingTeam
155.628GVSU
251.566Towson
349.630Ohio
449.208JMU
↑ from 7547.354CMU
647.231Miami
↓ from 5746.976MSU
844.550BGSU
944.541VCU
1043.885OSU
1143.386UMD
1243.078UWP
1342.067SVSU
1441.385PSU
1541.139Akron
1640.749UNG
1740.424*†ZAG
1840.401*†OS
↑ from 201939.859CSU
↑ from 212039.841UK
↑ from 222139.189UC
↓ from 192238.912WMU
2338.213UNL
2436.909UVA
2536.228†MC
2635.949SIUE
2735.862WVU
2835.224Kent
2934.246BSU
3033.877* GVSU-B
3133.713†NSU
3233.672DePaul
3333.623GSU
3432.793*†MSU-B
3532.000*†CMU-B
3631.425*Ohio-B

* denotes a provisional rating (< 6 matches)
† denotes a team that has not played three games this season, the required minimum games needed to qualify for Nationals.


Rating Changes

Rating ChangesPrePostChange
CMU45.94347.3541.412
SVSU41.56142.0670.507
GVSU55.50955.6280.119
MSU47.92846.976-0.952
WMU39.99738.912-1.085

It’s no surprise that with the upset CMU saw the biggest boost in their rating. The Chips also picked up a win over WMU to help propel their rating further. SVSU was able to snag a win from WMU as well, which helped offset their losses to GVSU and MSU.

GVSU was able to narrowly avoid a defeat at home to MSU in Overtime, and also picked up wins over all the remaining visiting teams. Given GVSU’s significant lead over the competition in rating, and overtime’s halved exchange, they were only able to net a modest 0.119 rating boost.

MSU and WMU find themselves on the bottom end of the rating exchanges for the weekend. As mentioned earlier, MSU lost a tough match to GVSU and unfortunately was upset by CMU shortly afterwards. They were able to get a win against SVSU at the beginning of the day, however it wasn’t enough to offset the two losses.

WMU faced a tough slate, and unfortunately was the only winless team at the event. It should be noted though they scored two points against SVSU, which is the most they’ve scored against an opponent in their limited history. With seven total games played, WMU’s rating has exited provisional status.


Strength of Schedule Spotlight

This section is meant to provide a perspective on which teams are playing the hardest schedules by Gonzalez Rating. It is a pure average of all the teams played at the time of playing them.

RankTeamAvg. Opp. Rating
1WMU49.458
2MSU48.810
3CMU46.075
4JMU45.975
5GVSU45.533
6SVSU45.483
7Towson45.440
8UMD43.469
9Miami43.074
10Ohio43.032
11GSU42.891
12BGSU42.805
13OSU42.786
14WVU41.992
15UVA41.965
16UK41.519
17VCU41.133
18Kent40.947
19UC40.592
20PSU40.192
21Akron40.106
22UWP40.030
23CSU39.712
24UNL39.585
25UNG39.327
26DePaul38.435
27SIUE38.105
28BSU37.019

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 2011201220132014201520162017201820192020
Gonzalez System: Exchange Sheet, Spec DocProbabilty Calculator

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