Standings as of 2022-04-11

In the 2022 Season, we have 45 technical upsets in 172 ranked matches (73.84% success rate) across 22 events.

The Gonzalez System is a computer ranking model similar to Elo and is a rating exchange system based on research performed by World Rugby. It has been adapted by the NCDA to the demands of College Dodgeball, but can be tuned and customized endlessly to incorporate accurate data. It has been used to help determine seeds for the Nationals bracket since Nationals 2014, and was used exclusively for each Nationals bracket since 2017.

Technical Upset Spotlight

A technical upset in the Gonzalez System is when a lower rated team defeats a higher rated team. The overall success rate of the system is currently 79.79% based on 443 technical upsets in 2,192 ranked matches played since 09-25-2010. There were nine technical upsets since our last standings update.

JMU def UC 3-1

44.981 def 48.972, exchanging 2.811

JMU defeated UC at Nationals. Overall, the technical upset ranks 96th all time and falls in the 78th percentile. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 13th all time of all upsets at Nationals.

Towson def Akron 4-1

42.170 def 43.347, exchanging 2.235

Towson defeated Akron at Nationals. Overall, the technical upset ranks 306th all time and falls in the 30th percentile. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 44th all time of all upsets at Nationals.

MSU def OSU 4-2

45.453 def 46.265, exchanging 2.162

MSU defeated OSU at Nationals. Overall, the technical upset ranks 355th all time and falls in the 20th percentile. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 58th all time of all upsets at Nationals.

UWP def CSU 4-1

45.453 def 46.265, exchanging 2.162

UWP defeated CSU at Nationals. Overall, the technical upset ranks 356th all time and falls in the 20th percentile. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 59th all time of all upsets at Nationals.

UMD def WMU 3-1

35.897 def 35.261 (+1), exchanging 2.073

UMD defeated WMU at Nationals. Overall, the technical upset ranks 397th all time and falls in the 11th percentile. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 73rd all time of all upsets at Nationals.

BGSU def PSU 5-4 (OT)

43.368 def 43.445, exchanging 1.008

BGSU defeated PSU at Nationals. Overall, the technical upset ranks 435th all time and falls in the 2nd percentile. The technical upset ranks 76th all time among all overtime upsets. Additionally, the technical upset ranks 77th all time of all upsets at Nationals.

Ratings, sorted.

Mov.RankRatingTeamW-L
↑ from 2154.197GVSU20-2
↑ from 4249.395MSU13-4
↑ from 5349.043JMU14-6
↓ from 1446.978UC21-4
↑ from 11546.230Towson13-10
↓ from 3644.752OSU14-6
↓ from 6743.333Ohio9-8
↓ from 7842.850PSU10-7
940.784UNL7-3
↓ from 81040.735BGSU12-8
↓ from 101139.953Akron11-11
↑ from 131239.884SVSU7-14
1339.612UVA2-3
↑ from 161438.759UWP5-14
↑ from 181538.627UMD5-14
↑ from 171637.742VCU1-7
↓ from 121737.342CSU6-11
↑ from 191837.205BSU0-3
↑ from 211936.615Kent0-3
↑ from 222036.201Miami1-13
↓ from 152132.668UK1-9
↓ from 202331.466WMU0-10

Rating Changes

Rating ChangesPrePostChange
GVSU48.59354.1975.604
Towson40.80646.2305.424
JMU44.91849.0434.125
MSU45.45349.3953.942
UMD37.26138.6271.366
Miami35.02836.2011.173
UWP38.07338.7590.686
PSU42.62842.8500.222
SVSU39.94439.884-0.060
Ohio44.52743.333-1.194
OSU46.01744.752-1.265
UNL42.36640.784-1.582
BGSU42.47040.735-1.735
CSU39.21237.342-1.870
UC48.97246.978-1.994
Akron42.14239.953-2.189
WMU36.62431.466-5.158
UK38.16632.668-5.498

See the Resource Center for more documentation.
Records, Master Spreadsheet: 2005-Present
Records, Individual Docs: 20112012201320142015
20162017201820192020, 2022
Gonzalez System: Exchange SheetSpec DocProbability Calculator

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