King of the Mountain Gonzalez Exchanges.
|Time||High Seed||Low Seed||Rating||Rating||Predicted Exchange||Exchange if Upset|
With the two highest ratings in the Gonzalez system playing in this event, it comes to no surprise that we have a number of predicted exchanges at the minimum value. Pretty much anyone playing GVSU is the minimum value, and all matches scheduled for a CMU home team are the minimum exchange.
The system doesn’t predict many even matches against the schedule; the average rating gap is a hefty 14.099. Exchanges start counting greater than the minimum when team ratings are within 10 of each other. It’s a shame we won’t see CMU Home v GVSU Away, or UWP v Kent. Those exchanges would be in the .700 range. A small caveat about that number: when both team ratings are equal, the exchange is 1. Then say one team had home court advantage; the exchange would be .700 in favor of the home team.
The closest predicted is the last match of the day, Kent/Akron. That’s a rating gap is 2.176 and predicted exchange of .782 in favor of Kent.
Any upsets, and to a lesser extent overtimes, will award the underdog with major additions to their rating and I’m looking forward to the day. As always, let me know if you have any questions!
One thought on “King of the Mountain Exchanges”
I am excited for Akron v Ohio. Excited to see that turn out since it’s not out of reach for Ohio.