Games played during a Nationals event are worth double, so the exchanges here are calculated then multiplied by two. Taking that, an exchange for an even match will be around two.
We have 10 minimum exchange matches of the 27 total games on Saturday. That’s a bit higher than the League average (242 of 920 matches is 26%, 10/27 is 37%), but take into consideration this is largely a you-call-em focus to scheduling. If I had to schedule GVSU to play three games on the day, they’d have to play #2-4: CMU, MSU, or JMU. OSU is their next higher opponent, but the initial gap is still 11.495 which forces a minimum exchange.
Queue | High Seed | Low Seed | Rating | Rating | Predicted Exchange | Exchange if Upset |
1 | CMU | Towson | 56.736 | 45.376 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
1 | SVSU | WKU | 50.961 | 38.142 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
1 | MSU | PSU | 51.088 | 39.266 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
1 | JMU | DePaul | 52.951 | 34.378 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
2 | OSU | UWP | 49.065 | 42.774 | 0.742 | 3.258 |
2 | BGSU | VCU | 41.255 | 38.097 | 1.368 | 2.632 |
2 | UK | BW | 42.681 | 37.741 | 1.012 | 2.988 |
2 | GVSU | Ohio | 60.560 | 31.359 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
3 | CMU | JMU | 56.756 | 52.971 | 1.243 | 2.757 |
3 | Akron | WKU | 39.108 | 38.122 | 1.803 | 2.197 |
3 | PSU | DePaul | 39.246 | 34.358 | 1.022 | 2.978 |
3 | SVSU | Kent | 50.981 | 41.129 | 0.030 | 3.970 |
4 | GVSU | OSU | 60.580 | 49.807 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
4 | Towson | BGSU | 45.356 | 42.623 | 1.453 | 2.547 |
4 | UWP | BW | 42.032 | 36.729 | 0.939 | 3.061 |
4 | MSU | Ohio | 51.108 | 31.339 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
5 | Kent | WKU | 41.099 | 36.319 | 1.044 | 2.956 |
5 | CMU | UK | 57.999 | 43.693 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
5 | Akron | VCU | 40.911 | 36.728 | 1.164 | 2.836 |
6 | JMU | MSU | 51.728 | 51.128 | 1.880 | 2.120 |
6 | SVSU | BGSU | 51.010 | 41.169 | 0.032 | 3.968 |
6 | DePaul | Ohio | 33.336 | 31.319 | 1.597 | 2.403 |
6 | PSU | BW | 40.269 | 35.790 | 1.104 | 2.896 |
7 | UWP | Kent | 42.972 | 42.143 | 1.834 | 2.166 |
7 | GVSU | Akron | 60.600 | 42.074 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
7 | OSU | VCU | 49.787 | 35.565 | 0.020 | 4.000 |
7 | Towson | UK | 46.809 | 43.673 | 1.373 | 2.627 |